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Qual 92015 Curie Division
Red142
70213.8
404853.8
30371.5
Blue138
330971.8
150631.2
406152.5
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11516950100150200250300142138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#8
71.50.7
73.8→74.5
Auto0.0
Teleop71.4
End0.0
blue by 0.4
3309
#15
71.81.4
72.7→71.3
Auto11.3
Teleop60.5
End0.0
Second
4048
#21
53.80.7
48.0→48.7
Auto0.9
Teleop52.9
End0.0
red by 1.2
4061
#44
52.51.4
50.9→49.5
Auto0.3
Teleop52.2
End0.0
Third
702
#51
13.80.7
6.1→6.8
Auto0.8
Teleop12.9
End0.0
blue by 17.5
1506
#60
31.21.4
43.0→41.6
Auto0.0
Teleop31.2
End0.0