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Red91
319329.0
573535.3
8851.9
Blue179
461359.0
34130.1
70175.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10713405015020025030091179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#33
51.91.2
50.549.3
Auto0.9
Teleop51.0
End0.0
blue by 23.5
701
#6
75.42.2
72.674.8
Auto1.1
Teleop74.4
End0.0
Second
5735
#47
35.31.2
36.935.7
Auto0.3
Teleop35.0
End0.0
blue by 23.7
59.02.2
39.942.1
Auto5.2
Teleop53.8
End0.0
Third
3193
#72
29.01.2
27.826.6
Auto1.4
Teleop27.6
End0.0
blue by 1.1
341
#25
30.12.2
22.424.6
Auto2.3
Teleop27.8
End0.0