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Red70
162231.7
181633.6
459517.4
Blue72
573721.9
299639.4
395948.9
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions751130501001502007072

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1816
#43
33.60.7
35.234.5
Auto0.2
Teleop33.4
End0.0
blue by 15.3
3959
#16
48.91.9
48.746.8
Auto1.2
Teleop47.8
End0.0
Second
1622
#68
31.70.7
32.932.2
Auto0.0
Teleop31.7
End0.0
blue by 7.8
2996
#52
39.41.9
42.140.1
Auto0.7
Teleop38.7
End0.0
Third
4595
#67
17.40.8
15.714.9
Auto0.9
Teleop16.5
End0.0
blue by 4.5
5737
#64
21.92.4
19.917.6
Auto0.0
Teleop21.9
End0.0