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Red134
108634.0
560344.1
345254.0
Blue188
547226.7
565417.0
461359.0
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13569050100150200134188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3452
#30
54.00.2
53.653.9
Auto0.3
Teleop53.8
End0.0
blue by 5.0
59.05.3
49.254.4
Auto5.2
Teleop53.8
End0.0
Second
5603
#27
44.10.2
42.542.7
Auto1.2
Teleop42.9
End0.0
red by 17.4
5472
#56
26.75.3
21.026.2
Auto0.1
Teleop26.6
End0.0
Third
1086
#40
34.00.2
33.033.3
Auto0.6
Teleop33.4
End0.0
red by 17.0
5654
#71
17.05.3
12.317.6
Auto0.9
Teleop16.1
End0.0