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Qual 1112015 Curie Division
Red98
446827.8
192331.1
393758.9
Blue111
27134.6
84240.5
540732.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123935015020098111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3937
#14
58.90.9
57.6→56.7
Auto0.0
Teleop58.9
End0.0
red by 18.4
842
#45
40.50.8
36.4→37.2
Auto2.3
Teleop38.1
End0.0
Second
1923
#62
31.10.9
36.4→35.4
Auto-1.2
Teleop32.3
End0.0
blue by 3.5
271
#49
34.60.8
33.2→34.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop34.7
End0.0
Third
4468
#66
27.80.9
28.7→27.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop28.3
End0.0
blue by 4.7
5407
#17
32.50.8
31.2→32.0
Auto0.9
Teleop31.7
End0.0