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Red144
30371.5
465326.2
37963.1
Blue56
12338.9
459517.4
319329.0
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1786605010015020025014456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#8
71.51.1
73.772.6
Auto0.0
Teleop71.4
End0.0
red by 32.6
123
#41
38.90.6
40.940.3
Auto0.7
Teleop38.2
End0.0
Second
379
#11
63.11.1
65.464.2
Auto2.4
Teleop60.7
End0.0
red by 34.2
3193
#72
29.00.6
27.827.2
Auto1.4
Teleop27.6
End0.0
Third
4653
#74
26.21.1
27.926.7
Auto0.5
Teleop25.6
End0.0
red by 8.7
4595
#67
17.40.6
18.017.3
Auto0.9
Teleop16.5
End0.0