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Red26
407322.8
459517.4
414630.2
Blue113
192331.1
459320.3
414369.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45132010015020025026113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4146
#54
30.21.7
25.724.0
Auto0.3
Teleop29.9
End0.0
blue by 39.5
4143
#10
69.80.5
67.967.4
Auto0.9
Teleop68.8
End0.0
Second
4073
#59Sur
22.81.7
20.418.7
Auto0.2
Teleop22.6
End0.0
blue by 8.3
1923
#62Sur
31.10.5
39.438.9
Auto-1.2
Teleop32.3
End0.0
Third
4595
#67DQ
17.41.7
14.112.4
Auto0.9
Teleop16.5
End0.0
blue by 2.9
4593
#69
20.30.5
15.515.0
Auto1.3
Teleop19.0
End0.0