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Red82
406152.5
397440.3
558617.7
Blue121
573721.9
366373.7
115648.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9512805015020025082121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4061
#44
52.51.1
51.350.3
Auto0.3
Teleop52.2
End0.0
blue by 21.2
73.70.3
65.565.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop73.9
End0.0
Second
3974
#36
40.31.1
38.036.9
Auto2.4
Teleop37.9
End0.0
blue by 7.8
1156
#22
48.10.3
44.944.5
Auto1.2
Teleop46.8
End0.0
Third
5586
#57
17.71.2
14.213.0
Auto1.0
Teleop16.7
End0.0
blue by 4.2
5737
#64
21.90.3
17.317.0
Auto0.0
Teleop21.9
End0.0