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Red196
64935.0
404853.8
70175.4
Blue218
61049.6
22829.0
14893.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14814580100120160180200220196218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
701
#6
75.42.3
71.473.6
Auto1.1
Teleop74.4
End0.0
blue by 17.9
148
#1
93.43.3
90.994.1
Auto11.5
Teleop81.8
End0.0
Second
4048
#21
53.82.3
50.552.7
Auto0.9
Teleop52.9
End0.0
red by 4.2
610
#18
49.63.3
39.142.4
Auto2.1
Teleop47.4
End0.0
Third
649
#39
35.02.3
29.031.2
Auto0.6
Teleop34.4
End0.0
red by 6.0
228
#29
29.03.3
22.525.7
Auto0.1
Teleop28.8
End0.0