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Qual 452015 Curie Division
Red124
397440.3
547226.7
192331.1
Blue170
299428.1
10776.9
395948.9
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81141050100200250124170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3974
#36
40.31.5
36.9→38.4
Auto2.4
Teleop37.9
End0.0
blue by 36.7
107
#3
76.91.7
71.9→73.6
Auto12.8
Teleop64.2
End0.0
Second
1923
#62
31.11.5
38.9→40.4
Auto-1.2
Teleop32.3
End0.0
blue by 17.8
3959
#16
48.91.7
47.0→48.7
Auto1.2
Teleop47.8
End0.0
Third
5472
#56
26.71.5
17.4→18.9
Auto0.1
Teleop26.6
End0.0
blue by 1.4
2994
#28
28.11.7
17.7→19.4
Auto0.3
Teleop27.7
End0.0