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Red95
108634.0
8851.9
558617.7
Blue173
130540.5
30371.5
5742.5
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8315405010020025095173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#33
51.90.1
51.251.1
Auto0.9
Teleop51.0
End0.0
blue by 19.5
303
#8
71.51.2
70.171.4
Auto0.0
Teleop71.4
End0.0
Second
1086
#40
34.00.1
33.233.1
Auto0.6
Teleop33.4
End0.0
blue by 8.4
57
#13
42.51.2
40.641.8
Auto-1.3
Teleop43.8
End0.0
Third
5586
#57
17.70.1
13.012.9
Auto1.0
Teleop16.7
End0.0
blue by 22.8
1305
#31
40.51.2
37.638.8
Auto0.4
Teleop40.1
End0.0