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Red136
345254.0
565417.0
27134.6
Blue115
23065.3
449825.1
70213.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93834060100120140136115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3452
#30
54.02.0
53.355.3
Auto0.3
Teleop53.8
End0.0
blue by 11.3
230
#7
65.31.4
60.261.5
Auto2.4
Teleop63.0
End0.0
Second
271
#49
34.62.0
28.130.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop34.7
End0.0
red by 9.5
4498
#48
25.11.4
19.320.6
Auto0.3
Teleop24.8
End0.0
Third
5654
#71
17.02.0
13.815.9
Auto0.9
Teleop16.1
End0.0
red by 3.2
702
#51
13.81.4
8.59.9
Auto0.8
Teleop12.9
End0.0