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Red130
300833.6
115648.1
330971.8
Blue42
40807.3
573535.3
36921.1
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15544010020025013042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3309
#15
71.80.7
70.569.8
Auto11.3
Teleop60.5
End0.0
red by 36.6
5735
#47
35.30.8
35.835.0
Auto0.3
Teleop35.0
End0.0
Second
1156
#22
48.10.7
44.543.9
Auto1.2
Teleop46.8
End0.0
red by 27.0
369
#50
21.10.9
18.317.4
Auto0.1
Teleop20.9
End0.0
Third
3008
#32
33.60.7
28.227.5
Auto0.3
Teleop33.4
End0.0
red by 26.3
4080
#76
7.30.9
9.58.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.4
End0.0