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Red137
162231.7
70830.3
560344.1
Blue134
414369.8
435518.6
34130.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92113050150200250137134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5603
#27
44.11.9
41.343.3
Auto1.2
Teleop42.9
End0.0
blue by 25.7
4143
#10
69.81.0
67.468.5
Auto0.9
Teleop68.8
End0.0
Second
1622
#68
31.71.9
30.232.1
Auto0.0
Teleop31.7
End0.0
red by 1.6
341
#25
30.11.0
24.025.1
Auto2.3
Teleop27.8
End0.0
Third
708
#65
30.31.9
27.028.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.4
End0.0
red by 11.7
4355
#58
18.61.0
22.023.0
Auto0.1
Teleop18.5
End0.0