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Qual 502015 Curie Division
Red104
558516.5
414630.2
7065.9
Blue127
131942.6
37963.1
446827.8
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99129050150200250104127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#19
65.90.1
60.4→60.5
Auto8.9
Teleop57.0
End0.0
red by 2.7
379
#11
63.10.1
63.1→63.0
Auto2.4
Teleop60.7
End0.0
Second
4146
#54
30.20.1
24.0→24.1
Auto0.3
Teleop29.9
End0.0
blue by 12.3
1319
#55
42.60.1
35.8→35.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop42.8
End0.0
Third
5585
#70
16.50.1
23.4→23.5
Auto0.3
Teleop16.2
End0.0
blue by 11.3
4468
#66
27.80.1
29.8→29.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop28.3
End0.0