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Red64
8851.9
565417.0
573721.9
Blue30
446827.8
255731.5
459320.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86752040601001201406430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#33
51.91.2
51.149.9
Auto0.9
Teleop51.0
End0.0
red by 20.5
2557
#37
31.52.5
32.429.9
Auto0.1
Teleop31.4
End0.0
Second
5737
#64
21.91.2
19.518.3
Auto0.0
Teleop21.9
End0.0
blue by 5.9
4468
#66
27.82.5
29.727.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop28.3
End0.0
Third
5654
#71
17.01.2
17.015.8
Auto0.9
Teleop16.1
End0.0
blue by 3.3
4593
#69
20.32.5
17.214.8
Auto1.3
Teleop19.0
End0.0