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Qual 652015 Curie Division
Red179
61049.6
397440.3
461359.0
Blue104
131860.8
300833.6
259423.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1161096080100140160179104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4613
#9
59.03.0
41.3→44.3
Auto5.2
Teleop53.8
End0.0
blue by 1.8
1318
#38
60.80.5
64.4→63.9
Auto1.9
Teleop58.9
End0.0
Second
610
#18
49.63.0
42.2→45.2
Auto2.1
Teleop47.4
End0.0
red by 16.0
3008
#32
33.60.5
30.6→30.1
Auto0.3
Teleop33.4
End0.0
Third
3974
#36
40.33.0
35.8→38.7
Auto2.4
Teleop37.9
End0.0
red by 17.1
2594
#61
23.20.5
19.2→18.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop23.7
End0.0