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Red119
393758.9
299639.4
349540.2
Blue187
22829.0
23065.3
7065.9
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115152050100200250300119187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3937
#14
58.90.3
52.752.3
Auto0.0
Teleop58.9
End0.0
blue by 7.0
70
#19
65.92.1
63.465.5
Auto8.9
Teleop57.0
End0.0
Second
3495
#26
40.20.3
35.835.5
Auto0.3
Teleop39.9
End0.0
blue by 25.1
230
#7
65.32.1
60.362.4
Auto2.4
Teleop63.0
End0.0
Third
2996
#52
39.40.3
36.836.5
Auto0.7
Teleop38.7
End0.0
red by 10.5
228
#29
29.02.1
27.829.9
Auto0.1
Teleop28.8
End0.0