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Red175
5656.3
108634.0
504666.1
Blue95
319329.0
490944.4
414630.2
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1568005010020025017595

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5046
#23
66.11.3
61.162.4
Auto3.0
Teleop63.2
End0.0
red by 21.8
4909
#42
44.40.3
42.442.7
Auto1.3
Teleop43.0
End0.0
Second
56
#24
56.31.3
56.257.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop56.6
End0.0
red by 26.1
4146
#54
30.20.3
23.824.1
Auto0.3
Teleop29.9
End0.0
Third
1086
#40
34.01.3
32.233.4
Auto0.6
Teleop33.4
End0.0
red by 5.1
3193
#72
29.00.3
28.729.0
Auto1.4
Teleop27.6
End0.0