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Red126
5742.5
540732.5
17643.9
Blue77
204636.0
70213.8
299428.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12051010015020012677

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#35
43.90.6
46.847.4
Auto1.3
Teleop42.7
End0.0
red by 7.9
2046
#53
36.00.6
35.135.8
Auto1.3
Teleop34.7
End0.0
Second
57
#13
42.50.6
39.440.1
Auto-1.3
Teleop43.8
End0.0
red by 14.4
2994
#28
28.10.6
20.120.7
Auto0.3
Teleop27.7
End0.0
Third
5407
#17
32.50.6
27.227.8
Auto0.9
Teleop31.7
End0.0
red by 18.8
702
#51
13.80.6
9.19.7
Auto0.8
Teleop12.9
End0.0