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Red182
393758.9
259423.2
23065.3
Blue132
115648.1
465326.2
108634.0
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1349850150200182132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#7
65.32.4
62.464.8
Auto2.4
Teleop63.0
End0.0
red by 17.2
1156
#22
48.11.2
48.249.4
Auto1.2
Teleop46.8
End0.0
Second
3937
#14
58.92.4
52.354.8
Auto0.0
Teleop58.9
End0.0
red by 24.9
1086
#40
34.01.2
33.434.7
Auto0.6
Teleop33.4
End0.0
Third
2594
#61
23.22.4
18.721.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop23.7
End0.0
blue by 2.9
4653
#74
26.21.2
26.127.3
Auto0.5
Teleop25.6
End0.0