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Red194
255731.5
397440.3
1114116.0
Blue134
150631.2
407322.8
7065.9
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions194103050150250300194134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
116.00.4
118.3118.6
Auto11.7
Teleop104.3
End0.0
red by 50.1
70
#19
65.90.6
65.566.1
Auto8.9
Teleop57.0
End0.0
Second
3974
#36
40.30.4
38.739.1
Auto2.4
Teleop37.9
End0.0
red by 9.0
1506
#60
31.20.6
36.537.2
Auto0.0
Teleop31.2
End0.0
Third
2557
#37
31.50.4
29.930.3
Auto0.1
Teleop31.4
End0.0
red by 8.7
4073
#59
22.80.6
19.420.1
Auto0.2
Teleop22.6
End0.0