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Red164
557221.1
94861.2
299428.1
Blue106
558617.7
404853.8
131942.6
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92108050150200250164106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
948
#20
61.23.3
60.463.7
Auto12.3
Teleop48.9
End0.0
red by 7.5
4048
#21
53.80.1
52.352.4
Auto0.9
Teleop52.9
End0.0
Second
2994
#28
28.13.3
20.724.1
Auto0.3
Teleop27.7
End0.0
blue by 14.5
1319
#55
42.60.1
40.740.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop42.8
End0.0
Third
5572
#63
21.13.3
16.820.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop21.6
End0.0
red by 3.4
5586
#57
17.70.1
16.816.9
Auto1.0
Teleop16.7
End0.0