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Red88
17643.9
459517.4
300833.6
Blue206
130540.5
70175.4
27134.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8215105010020025088206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#35
43.90.4
47.447.0
Auto1.3
Teleop42.7
End0.0
blue by 31.5
701
#6
75.43.0
75.378.3
Auto1.1
Teleop74.4
End0.0
Second
3008
#32
33.60.4
30.129.7
Auto0.3
Teleop33.4
End0.0
blue by 6.9
1305
#31
40.53.0
38.441.4
Auto0.4
Teleop40.1
End0.0
Third
4595
#67
17.40.4
18.518.1
Auto0.9
Teleop16.5
End0.0
blue by 17.2
271
#49
34.63.0
31.634.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop34.7
End0.0