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Qual 882015 Curie Division
Red126
34130.1
70213.8
504666.1
Blue106
573721.9
64935.0
192331.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9582204060120140126106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5046
#23
66.11.5
62.4→63.9
Auto3.0
Teleop63.2
End0.0
red by 31.1
649
#39
35.01.0
33.7→34.6
Auto0.6
Teleop34.4
End0.0
Second
341
#25
30.11.5
23.9→25.4
Auto2.3
Teleop27.8
End0.0
blue by 1.0
1923
#62
31.11.0
34.9→35.9
Auto-1.2
Teleop32.3
End0.0
Third
702
#51
13.81.5
9.7→11.2
Auto0.8
Teleop12.9
End0.0
blue by 8.1
5737
#64
21.91.0
18.3→19.2
Auto0.0
Teleop21.9
End0.0