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Qual 932015 Curie Division
Red82
36921.1
319329.0
406152.5
Blue100
395948.9
27134.6
5742.5
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8613005010015020025082100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4061
#44
52.50.7
49.0→48.3
Auto0.3
Teleop52.2
End0.0
red by 3.6
3959
#16
48.91.4
51.0→49.6
Auto1.2
Teleop47.8
End0.0
Second
3193
#72
29.00.7
28.6→27.8
Auto1.4
Teleop27.6
End0.0
blue by 13.5
57
#13
42.51.4
42.1→40.7
Auto-1.3
Teleop43.8
End0.0
Third
369
#50
21.10.7
18.5→17.8
Auto0.1
Teleop20.9
End0.0
blue by 13.5
271
#49
34.61.4
34.6→33.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop34.7
End0.0