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Qual 942015 Curie Division
Red103
446827.8
490944.4
558617.7
Blue105
299639.4
465326.2
70830.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8887406080100120103105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4909
#42
44.41.3
44.1→45.5
Auto1.3
Teleop43.0
End0.0
red by 4.9
2996
#52
39.40.6
36.5→37.1
Auto0.7
Teleop38.7
End0.0
Second
4468
#66
27.81.3
27.3→28.7
Auto-0.5
Teleop28.3
End0.0
blue by 2.5
708
#65
30.30.6
29.1→29.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.4
End0.0
Third
5586
#57
17.71.3
16.9→18.2
Auto1.0
Teleop16.7
End0.0
blue by 8.5
4653
#74
26.20.6
27.3→27.9
Auto0.5
Teleop25.6
End0.0