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Red118
414630.2
12046.3
70175.4
Blue113
259423.2
573721.9
84240.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions163560100150200250118113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
701
#6
75.41.7
78.376.6
Auto1.1
Teleop74.4
End0.0
red by 35.0
842
#45
40.51.9
34.536.4
Auto2.3
Teleop38.1
End0.0
Second
120
#34
46.31.7
47.645.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop46.6
End0.0
red by 23.1
2594
#61
23.21.9
21.123.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop23.7
End0.0
Third
4146
#54
30.21.7
26.124.4
Auto0.3
Teleop29.9
End0.0
red by 8.3
5737
#64
21.91.9
19.221.1
Auto0.0
Teleop21.9
End0.0