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Red222
349540.2
34130.1
14893.4
Blue154
393758.9
300833.6
547226.7
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15489050200250222154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#1
93.43.6
88.391.9
Auto11.5
Teleop81.8
End0.0
red by 34.5
3937
#14
58.92.9
54.857.6
Auto0.0
Teleop58.9
End0.0
Second
3495
#26
40.23.6
35.939.5
Auto0.3
Teleop39.9
End0.0
red by 6.6
3008
#32
33.62.9
29.732.6
Auto0.3
Teleop33.4
End0.0
Third
341
#25
30.13.6
25.429.0
Auto2.3
Teleop27.8
End0.0
red by 3.4
5472
#56
26.72.9
18.121.0
Auto0.1
Teleop26.6
End0.0