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Red84
23065.3
573535.3
181633.6
Blue142
299428.1
30371.5
397440.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1311298010012014016018084142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#7
65.32.5
64.862.3
Auto2.4
Teleop63.0
End0.0
blue by 6.1
303
#8
71.50.3
73.573.7
Auto0.0
Teleop71.4
End0.0
Second
5735
#47
35.32.5
36.534.0
Auto0.3
Teleop35.0
End0.0
blue by 5.0
3974
#36
40.30.3
39.139.4
Auto2.4
Teleop37.9
End0.0
Third
1816
#43
33.62.5
32.329.8
Auto0.2
Teleop33.4
End0.0
red by 5.5
2994
#28
28.10.3
24.124.3
Auto0.3
Teleop27.7
End0.0