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Qual 992015 Curie Division
Red120
330971.8
64935.0
459517.4
Blue86
131860.8
565417.0
157451.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1221228010014016018012086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3309
#15
71.80.2
70.7→70.5
Auto11.3
Teleop60.5
End0.0
red by 11.1
1318
#38
60.82.2
63.5→61.4
Auto1.9
Teleop58.9
End0.0
Second
649
#39
35.00.2
34.6→34.4
Auto0.6
Teleop34.4
End0.0
blue by 16.0
1574
#12
51.02.2
51.5→49.3
Auto0.3
Teleop50.7
End0.0
Third
4595
#67
17.40.2
18.1→18.0
Auto0.9
Teleop16.5
End0.0
red by 0.4
5654
#71
17.02.2
14.5→12.3
Auto0.9
Teleop16.1
End0.0