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Qual 112015 Greater DC Regional
Red75
11628.6
189527.7
68615.1
Blue97
141835.5
188531.4
454116.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575650607080907597

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
116
#19
28.60.9
23.2→24.2
Auto0.1
Teleop28.6
End0.0
blue by 6.9
1418
#2
35.53.2
21.7→24.9
Auto0.6
Teleop34.9
End0.0
Second
1895
#5
27.71.0
21.6→22.6
Auto0.6
Teleop27.2
End0.0
blue by 3.7
1885
#8
31.42.4
25.9→28.3
Auto0.7
Teleop30.7
End0.0
Third
686
#34
15.11.4
13.7→15.1
Auto0.2
Teleop14.9
End0.0
blue by 1.6
4541
#32
16.73.2
10.7→13.9
Auto0.1
Teleop16.6
End0.0