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Qual 122015 Greater DC Regional
Red19
218610.1
38327.1
291211.7
Blue6
206812.9
424213.9
36509.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43280206080100120196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
383
#20
27.11.6
26.3→24.7
Auto0.2
Teleop26.9
End0.0
red by 13.1
4242
#28
13.91.1
9.9→8.8
Auto0.5
Teleop13.4
End0.0
Second
2912
#37
11.72.0
9.6→7.7
Auto0.5
Teleop11.2
End0.0
blue by 1.2
2068
#39
12.91.1
10.6→9.4
Auto0.7
Teleop12.2
End0.0
Third
2186
#31
10.12.0
6.5→4.5
Auto0.0
Teleop10.1
End0.0
red by 0.7
3650
#44
9.41.1
11.3→10.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.4
End0.0