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Qual 162015 Greater DC Regional
Red20
55204.2
482111.5
237723.4
Blue40
11239.2
533822.7
29649.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4121060801001201402040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2377
#22
23.40.6
18.8→18.2
Auto0.7
Teleop22.7
End0.0
red by 0.7
5338
#14
22.71.2
11.1→12.3
Auto0.9
Teleop21.8
End0.0
Second
4821
#33
11.50.6
9.5→8.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.6
End0.0
red by 2.1
2964
#40
9.51.2
7.6→8.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.5
End0.0
Third
5520
#48
4.20.6
10.9→10.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop4.3
End0.0
blue by 5.0
1123
#41
9.21.2
6.4→7.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.3
End0.0