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Qual 172015 Greater DC Regional
Red40
445619.8
38327.1
36509.4
Blue25
44919.8
11628.6
19156.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4847204060801004025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
383
#20
27.10.1
24.7→24.6
Auto0.2
Teleop26.9
End0.0
blue by 1.6
116
#19
28.61.3
24.2→22.9
Auto0.1
Teleop28.6
End0.0
Second
4456
#15
19.80.2
13.2→13.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.0
End0.0
Level
449
#23
19.82.2
15.8→13.7
Auto0.2
Teleop19.6
End0.0
Third
3650
#44
9.40.2
10.1→10.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.4
End0.0
red by 2.8
1915
#45
6.72.2
11.0→8.9
Auto0.1
Teleop6.5
End0.0