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Red64
341960.5
62330.6
556916.8
Blue50
5312.2
206812.9
188531.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions794401001502006450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.50.7
44.343.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop60.7
End0.0
red by 29.1
31.40.1
28.328.2
Auto0.7
Teleop30.7
End0.0
Second
623
#9
30.61.0
15.014.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.7
End0.0
red by 17.7
2068
#39
12.90.1
9.49.4
Auto0.7
Teleop12.2
End0.0
Third
5569
#16
16.81.0
16.815.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.0
End0.0
red by 4.6
53
#27
12.20.1
13.213.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.4
End0.0