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Qual 242015 Greater DC Regional
Red4
446412.2
447212.0
454116.7
Blue34
349030.0
533822.7
424213.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35430100150200250300350434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4541
#32
16.72.3
13.9→11.6
Auto0.1
Teleop16.6
End0.0
blue by 13.2
3490
#4
30.00.2
21.9→21.7
Auto0.5
Teleop29.5
End0.0
Second
4464
#30
12.22.3
12.0→9.7
Auto0.4
Teleop11.8
End0.0
blue by 10.5
5338
#14
22.70.2
12.3→12.1
Auto0.9
Teleop21.8
End0.0
Third
4472
#26
12.02.3
11.7→9.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.2
End0.0
blue by 2.0
4242
#28
13.90.2
8.8→8.5
Auto0.5
Teleop13.4
End0.0