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Red6
558714.1
206812.9
218610.1
Blue54
554924.6
445619.8
173136.0
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1865050100150200654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5587
#29
14.10.7
10.49.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.2
End0.0
blue by 22.0
36.00.3
31.831.5
Auto0.4
Teleop35.7
End0.0
Second
2068
#39
12.90.7
9.48.7
Auto0.7
Teleop12.2
End0.0
blue by 11.7
24.60.5
15.414.9
Auto0.2
Teleop24.4
End0.0
Third
2186
#31
10.10.7
6.45.7
Auto0.0
Teleop10.1
End0.0
blue by 9.6
4456
#15
19.80.5
13.012.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.0
End0.0