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Red44
24217.6
141835.5
409920.4
Blue33
533822.7
524327.7
5312.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52460204060801004433

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.50.7
26.725.9
Auto0.6
Teleop34.9
End0.0
red by 7.8
5243
#13
27.70.8
23.122.3
Auto1.0
Teleop26.7
End0.0
Second
4099
#17
20.40.7
15.715.0
Auto0.2
Teleop20.2
End0.0
blue by 2.3
5338
#14
22.71.3
12.110.8
Auto0.9
Teleop21.8
End0.0
Third
2421
#38
7.60.7
10.69.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop7.9
End0.0
blue by 4.6
53
#27
12.21.3
13.211.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.4
End0.0