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Qual 302015 Greater DC Regional
Red76
38327.1
62330.6
394115.4
Blue117
349030.0
138924.1
189527.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53522040608010076117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
623
#9
30.62.4
14.0→16.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.7
End0.0
red by 0.6
3490
#4
30.03.4
21.7→25.1
Auto0.5
Teleop29.5
End0.0
Second
383
#20
27.11.6
24.6→26.2
Auto0.2
Teleop26.9
End0.0
blue by 0.7
1895
#5
27.73.4
21.4→24.8
Auto0.6
Teleop27.2
End0.0
Third
3941
#36
15.42.4
15.1→17.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.5
End0.0
blue by 8.7
1389
#12
24.15.6
12.1→17.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop24.3
End0.0