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Qual 312015 Greater DC Regional
Red44
44919.8
482111.5
447212.0
Blue44
454116.7
61218.0
61417.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274201001502004444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#23
19.81.1
13.7→14.8
Auto0.2
Teleop19.6
End0.0
red by 1.9
612
#24
18.00.2
14.7→14.9
Auto0.4
Teleop17.5
End0.0
Second
4472
#26
12.01.1
9.4→10.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.2
End0.0
blue by 5.3
614
#25
17.30.3
14.5→14.7
Auto0.1
Teleop17.2
End0.0
Third
4821
#33
11.51.1
7.5→8.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.6
End0.0
blue by 5.2
4541
#32
16.70.3
11.6→11.9
Auto0.1
Teleop16.6
End0.0