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Red46
482111.5
349030.0
556916.8
Blue66
291211.7
558714.1
141835.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5542020801001201404666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.00.5
26.926.4
Auto0.5
Teleop29.5
End0.0
blue by 5.5
35.51.7
28.830.5
Auto0.6
Teleop34.9
End0.0
Second
5569
#16
16.80.8
17.817.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.0
End0.0
red by 2.8
5587
#29
14.11.7
9.010.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.2
End0.0
Third
4821
#33
11.50.8
10.59.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.6
End0.0
blue by 0.1
2912
#37
11.71.7
7.79.4
Auto0.5
Teleop11.2
End0.0