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Red46
37485.5
189527.7
62010.1
Blue42
409920.4
68615.1
445619.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions474102060801004642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.70.1
25.925.8
Auto0.6
Teleop27.2
End0.0
red by 7.4
4099
#17
20.40.1
16.816.7
Auto0.2
Teleop20.2
End0.0
Second
620
#43
10.10.1
14.314.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.3
End0.0
blue by 9.6
4456
#15
19.80.1
14.314.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.0
End0.0
Third
3748
#42
5.50.1
7.47.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.6
End0.0
blue by 9.7
686
#34
15.10.1
12.011.9
Auto0.2
Teleop14.9
End0.0