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Red15
19156.7
24217.6
5312.2
Blue45
337312.9
447212.0
188531.4
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27530204060801001201401545

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53
#27
12.21.4
14.913.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.4
End0.0
blue by 19.2
31.40.3
29.128.8
Auto0.7
Teleop30.7
End0.0
Second
2421
#38
7.61.4
12.210.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop7.9
End0.0
blue by 5.3
3373
#35
12.90.3
12.312.0
Auto0.1
Teleop12.8
End0.0
Third
1915
#45
6.71.4
4.73.3
Auto0.1
Teleop6.5
End0.0
blue by 5.3
4472
#26
12.00.5
9.69.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.2
End0.0