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Qual 462015 Greater DC Regional
Red15
29649.5
36509.4
49493.5
Blue53
446412.2
554924.6
62330.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275201001502001553

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2964
#40
9.51.4
10.8→9.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.5
End0.0
blue by 21.2
623
#9
30.60.3
21.2→21.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.7
End0.0
Second
3650
#44
9.41.4
14.0→12.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.4
End0.0
blue by 15.1
5549
#7
24.60.3
15.1→15.4
Auto0.2
Teleop24.4
End0.0
Third
4949
#46
3.51.4
7.1→5.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.6
End0.0
blue by 8.7
4464
#30
12.20.3
13.3→13.6
Auto0.4
Teleop11.8
End0.0