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Red48
44919.8
61218.0
524327.7
Blue7
12221.0
424213.9
55204.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61310204080100120140160487

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5243
#13
27.70.5
23.422.9
Auto1.0
Teleop26.7
End0.0
red by 6.7
122
#18
21.00.6
15.815.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.3
End0.0
Second
449
#23
19.80.9
17.716.8
Auto0.2
Teleop19.6
End0.0
red by 5.9
4242
#28
13.91.0
13.412.4
Auto0.5
Teleop13.4
End0.0
Third
612
#24
18.00.5
17.216.7
Auto0.4
Teleop17.5
End0.0
red by 13.8
5520
#48
4.21.0
7.46.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop4.3
End0.0