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Red34
19156.7
49493.5
349030.0
Blue64
424213.9
237723.4
62010.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344101002003004005006003464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.00.5
26.426.9
Auto0.5
Teleop29.5
End0.0
red by 6.5
2377
#22
23.41.8
14.616.4
Auto0.7
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Second
1915
#45
6.70.7
4.85.5
Auto0.1
Teleop6.5
End0.0
blue by 7.3
4242
#28
13.91.8
13.215.0
Auto0.5
Teleop13.4
End0.0
Third
4949
#46
3.50.7
5.36.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.6
End0.0
blue by 6.7
620
#43
10.11.8
13.315.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.3
End0.0