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Red73
524327.7
173136.0
253716.3
Blue89
37485.5
454116.7
341960.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions637001001502002503007389

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.00.3
32.833.1
Auto0.4
Teleop35.7
End0.0
blue by 24.5
60.50.9
52.052.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop60.7
End0.0
Second
5243
#13
27.70.3
22.122.4
Auto1.0
Teleop26.7
End0.0
red by 11.0
4541
#32
16.71.4
12.313.7
Auto0.1
Teleop16.6
End0.0
Third
2537
#21
16.30.5
11.812.3
Auto0.2
Teleop16.1
End0.0
red by 10.8
3748
#42
5.51.4
7.18.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.6
End0.0