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Red8
62010.1
49493.5
524327.7
Blue38
206812.9
482111.5
142130.9
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40550100150200838

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5243
#13
27.71.8
22.420.6
Auto1.0
Teleop26.7
End0.0
blue by 3.2
30.90.8
27.226.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop31.0
End0.0
Second
620
#43
10.12.6
15.112.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.3
End0.0
blue by 2.7
2068
#39
12.91.2
11.710.5
Auto0.7
Teleop12.2
End0.0
Third
4949
#46
3.52.6
6.03.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.6
End0.0
blue by 8.1
4821
#33
11.51.2
15.614.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.6
End0.0