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Red14
6115.3
409920.4
454116.7
Blue30
19156.7
29649.5
103322.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39361020305060701430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4099
#17
20.41.4
20.218.8
Auto0.2
Teleop20.2
End0.0
blue by 2.0
1033
#11
22.40.4
22.221.8
Auto0.2
Teleop22.2
End0.0
Second
4541
#32
16.71.4
13.712.2
Auto0.1
Teleop16.6
End0.0
red by 7.3
2964
#40
9.50.6
10.59.9
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.5
End0.0
Third
611
#47
5.31.0
6.15.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop5.4
End0.0
blue by 1.3
1915
#45
6.70.6
5.54.9
Auto0.1
Teleop6.5
End0.0